Daily Analysis

๐ŸŸข P&L: +$10.59 | January 13, 2026 Trades Green P&L & Red Discipline

The edge was not there early, and I didnโ€™t respect that. The tape was wicky and unclear, but instead of waiting for confirmation, I tried to predict, which led to early red trades and an antsy mindset from the jump. Today also carried emotional weight โ€” it was my dadโ€™s birthday (he's passed) โ€” and combined with starting cold plunges, there was underlying tension heading into the session. I broke my 50-share size rule, which reset my clean-trade counter (now 2 / 30 trades to unlock 100 shares). I finished green, but discipline broke, and the post-trade cold plunge helped me reset and separate this day from tomorrow.

IOTR

  1. IOTR โ€” 3.97 โ†’ 3.77

  2. IOTR โ€” 3.96 โ†’ 3.86

  3. IOTR โ€” 4.00 โ†’ 4.03

  4. IOTR โ€” 4.19 โ†’ 4.37


EVTV

  1. EVTV โ€” 3.51 โ†’ 3.395


SPRC

  1. SPRC โ€” 1.695 โ†’ 1.71

  2. SPRC โ€” 2.00 โ†’ 2.08

  3. SPRC โ€” 2.06 โ†’ 2.04

  4. SPRC โ€” 2.32 โ†’ 2.18


PDYN

  1. PDYN โ€” 7.01 โ†’ 6.78


OSS

  1. OSS โ€” 12.04 โ†’ 12.16


AHMA

  1. AHMA โ€” 6.00 โ†’ 5.87

  2. AHMA โ€” 6.32 โ†’ 6.02

  3. AHMA โ€” 6.37 โ†’ 6.65

  4. AHMA โ€” 6.75 โ†’ 6.76

  5. AHMA โ€” 8.66 โ†’ 8.24

  6. AHMA โ€” 9.09 โ†’ 9.50

  7. AHMA โ€” 13.04 โ†’ 13.03

  8. AHMA โ€” 13.42 โ†’ 13.29

  9. AHMA โ€” 13.44 โ†’ 13.55

Trade Breakdown

Trades 1โ€“3: Early IOTR / EVTV

Result: Losses
Issue: Trading before the edge showed up

I tried to predict early instead of waiting for confirmation. The tape was wicky and inconsistent, and I traded anyway. These were real losses, not scratches.

This is where the day started to go off track.

Mistake: Trading uncertainty instead of standing down.


Trades 4โ€“6: SPRC

Result: Small wins and losses
Issue: Staying engaged without improvement

The setup never became clean, but I kept trading it anyway. I entered, exited, and re-entered without conditions improving.

Mistake: Treating continued movement as a reason to stay involved.


Trade 7: PDYN

Result: Loss
Issue: Emotional trade

This trade came from annoyance, not clarity. That alone disqualified it.

Mistake: Trading from irritation instead of waiting.


Trade 8: OSS

Result: Win
Issue: Occurred inside an overtrading session

This trade worked, but it didnโ€™t fix the day. It happened while I was already over-engaged.

Mistake: Letting a winner justify continued trading.


Trades 9โ€“14: AHMA (Earlyโ€“Mid)

Result: Mixed results, including a larger win
Issue: Over-attachment to one ticker

AHMA became a problem because I kept coming back to it. I re-entered after exits, traded through frustration, and broke a size rule trying to recover earlier losses. The stock felt tricky and frustrating, and I let that pull me into a spiral.

Mistake: Turning a ticker into a storyline instead of treating each trade as isolated.


Trades 15โ€“17: AHMA (Late)

Result: Losses / giveback
Issue: Chasing movement

These trades were no longer about structure. They were attempts to catch motion because the stock was still moving.

Mistake: Trading movement instead of setup.


Trades 18โ€“19: IOTR (Late)

Result: Losses
Issue: Poor timing

The idea wasnโ€™t wrong, but the timing was. Entering early still counts as a loss.

Mistake: Forcing entries instead of waiting.


Trade 20: Final Trade

Result: Small result
Issue: Fatigue

By this point, I shouldnโ€™t have been trading. The trade wasnโ€™t reckless, but it wasnโ€™t necessary.

Mistake: Not stopping sooner.

Market Context

This was the day after a major parabolic move.

Speed returned before structure. Scanners were firing constantly, but follow-through was unreliable. There were lots of wicks, failed pivots, and fake continuations โ€” a dangerous environment for over-engagement.

This was not a day to predict.
It was a day to wait.

I didnโ€™t.

I finally said, let the dust settled and bailed out.

Execution Notes

Once the first few trades didnโ€™t work, pressure entered the session.

Not pressure from the market โ€” pressure from me wanting the day to โ€œstart working.โ€

That pressure showed up as:

  • Overtrading

  • Re-entering the same names

  • Watching tickers after exiting

  • Taking second and third attempts

  • Trading movement instead of confirmation

This wasnโ€™t panic.
It was urgency.

And urgency is poison for my trading.

AHMA: Turning a Trade Into a Narrative

AHMA became the center of the day.

The stock had real movement, and I did catch good trades in it. But instead of treating those as contained opportunities, I stayed attached.

I kept watching it.
I kept going back.
I tried to make earlier P/L back instead of waiting for new structure.

At one point, I broke my size rule. Even though the trade worked, thatโ€™s a process loss. Winning after breaking rules doesnโ€™t count.

AHMA didnโ€™t break the day.

Staying engaged with AHMA did.

Avoidable Trades

There were trades today that simply shouldnโ€™t have happened.

PDYN was one of them.

I jumped into it annoyed and already tilted. It had nothing to do with edge and everything to do with emotional carryover. Even though it moved later, that doesnโ€™t justify the entry.

That trade belongs in the โ€œdo not takeโ€ category.

Sequencing, Not Strategy

This was not a strategy problem.

It was a sequencing problem.

  • Early trades were anticipatory, not confirmed

  • Red trades clustered by ticker

  • Re-entries increased risk without improving edge

  • Execution quality degraded as engagement increased

On several names, nothing meaningful changed in the stock.

I changed.

If I stopped trading after the first few unclear attempts, this wouldโ€™ve been a very different day.

The Math (For Context)

  • Net P/L: +$10.59

  • Total Trades: 20

  • Most Traded Ticker: AHMA

The P/L does not reflect the quality of the session.

This is a day where the number lies.

What Went Right

  • I cut losers instead of freezing

  • I sold into strength on winners

  • I recognized tilt in real time

  • I eventually shut the broker off

What Went Wrong

  • Trading when the edge wasnโ€™t present

  • Predicting early instead of waiting

  • Overtrading one unstable ticker

  • Re-entering after exits

  • Breaking size rules under pressure

Scorecard

  • Market Read: C

  • Execution: D

  • Risk Control: C+

  • Emotional Awareness: B-

  • Emotional Execution: D

Overall Grade: D

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MGK

Iโ€™m MGK, and at my core Iโ€™m an entrepreneur. Iโ€™ve built and operated businesses across several sectors over the years โ€” from technology to payments to AI-driven platforms. I love building things, solving problems, and creating systems that make life or business a little easier.

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